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The subprime crisis is already here

Tuesday, April 22nd, 2008

Back in 2002 when I bought my condo, there were no obvious signs to me that what was going on in the mortgage market were the beginning stages of the current subprime crisis. I knew I was making the right decision to buy a place while I could still afford one and I saw how property values jumped significantly in the next two years. However, all along I had this feeling that this rapid growth of the market could not be normal and that it could not possibly benefit everyone. I also figured that at some point I would have to sell my condo and I would most likely want to sell it at fair market and maybe just a tad more.

Would someone really be willing to pay me double the price of what I paid for it a couple years ago? This really puzzled me, and even though I thought it would be great to make that much money, I couldn’t help to feel a little concerned for whoever ended up buying my condo. Would they finance with sub-prime or conventional loans? How will they manage such a large monthly payment? Will they continue to enjoy the market growth like I did?

It can’t grow forever, what goes up must in deed come down, and that’s what we’re witnessing here. It’s a nose dive of a decline for the housing market and it really is difficult to watch. The same thing goes for the stock market, there’s usually a period of aggressive growth that must eventually fix itself. I trade very moderately in the stock market so I keep up with it, but it’s definitely not a huge worry for me.

Though the housing market, which everyone is part of in one way or another, is now suffering from a subprime mortgage crisis, which in turn has an impact on the overall economic growth. As more mortgages default, there’s less confidence in buying homes, and we’re ending up with a surplus of homes across the country, causing a very dramatic decline in new home construction and prices of homes. All of this builds the downward pressure that weighs on the overall growth.

Interest rates on a number of subprime and ARM loans are due to go up through 2008. However, to the benefit of home owners who may be finding themselves on the brink of bankruptcy, the US treasury, backed by US legislators, is enabling the deferment of interest adjustments in order to begin working towards stimulating the economy and re-establishing confidence in consumers and financial markets.

To begin a resolution to the subprime crisis, one of the measures that can be taken in the future through legislation is to limit the numbers of different financial products that revolve around these types of loans and to force revisiting the metrics to qualify consumers for these types of loans. Salaries will need to keep up with inflation and unemployment needs to stay low. Finally, the housing market’s steady decline needs to be interrupted as soon as possible, but this won’t be possible without more aggressive efforts from the US treasury and the government.

Meanwhile, if you’re finding yourself in the same situation that millions of homeowners are in right now, where you’re not making your mortgage payment and considering bankruptcy. You need to know that there maybe alternatives available to you, banks and mortgage lenders are starting to resort to offering their customers loan modifications and or encouraging a short sale. Read more about loan modifications and other free resources here, it may be just what you need to save your home.

Real Estate collapses in California

Sunday, March 16th, 2008

I guess a lot of people would say that this is nothing more than someone being very negative about what the future has in store for our great state. However, I have seen the effects of the real estate collapse right here in Southern California, and I don’t know why anyone would call it anything else, I think some people are trying to remain optimistic about this especially those who could lose big.

Those who ventured in real estate for investment starting in 2002 to 2003, should have sold their investments prior to 2006 when the market peaked and began its decline. Obviously they would have sold these properties to people who probably could not afford conventional loans on these properties that during that time would have had an average cost of $520,000, so the problem was transferred from one owner to another and any family that bought a home at this price has now suffered a huge decline in value, what’s worse is if these families bought their homes at 100% financing under ARM loans or any other adjustable rate loan they’re going to end up surrendering their homes or in foreclosure.

It’s really tough to argue with this message and carry on the same way we have been for the last 5 years. If anyone reading and watching this feels optimistic about the current state of the market, please explain why.

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